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Legal Certainty As A Business Prerequisite
The phrase “legal certainty” appears in almost every policy document, inauguration speech for new regulations

IS LITIGATION IN INDONESIA STILL EFFECTIVE

A Re-reading of the Judicial System from a Practice Perspective

Authored by:

Juventhy M. Siahaan, S.H., M.H.

Managing Partner, JBD Law Firm

I. Introduction

The phrase “legal certainty” appears in almost every policy document, inauguration speech for new regulations, and annual report of supervisory agencies in Indonesia. It has become a mantra, something always cited, always promised, but whose reality on the business ground is often far from what is pledged. This article takes the position that legal certainty is not merely a noble aspiration; it is a functional prerequisite for modern business, and its absence carries concrete and measurable economic costs, not merely procedural inconveniences.

The Indonesian legal system has undergone a massive legislative transformation over the last two decades, from the birth of the updated Limited Liability Company Law and the Capital Market Law to a series of laws in the financial services sector culminating in Law Number 4 of 2023 concerning the Development and Strengthening of the Financial Sector (UUPPSK). On paper, the existing normative framework appears comprehensive. However, between the normative framework and the actual experience of business actors who interact with it daily, there exists a gap that is often very wide, a gap born not only from a lack of norms but from the inability of institutions to apply those norms consistently, from the politicization of enforcement creating selective uncertainty, and from procedural rigidity not designed to keep pace with the speed of evolving business models.

An honest evaluation of this condition, recognizing real progress without overstating it, identifying persistent weaknesses including those most uncomfortable to acknowledge, and proposing specific, implementable directions for improvement, is the objective of this article. Analysis sterilized from reality is useless for practitioners who must make decisions based on the system that exists, not the system that ought to be.

II. Where Real Progress Has Occurred, and Where Critical Notes Remain Necessary

It is unfair, and inaccurate, to begin this analysis without acknowledging the genuine progress that has occurred. However, progress recognized without critical notes is progress only half-understood.

The first field to record substantial progress is bankruptcy and debt restructuring law. The presence of the Commercial Court and Suspension of Debt Payment Obligation (PKPU) procedures has created internationally recognized resolution mechanisms, something unimaginable before the post-1998 bankruptcy law reforms. However, a critical note that must not be ignored: PKPU has also evolved into an instrument frequently abused by bad-faith debtors as a mechanism for payment deferral rather than genuine restructuring. The Commercial Court does not always possess the capacity to identify this abuse quickly, and creditors facing opportunistic debtors in the PKPU process often suffer losses disproportionate to what the law intended. Progress in the normative framework does not automatically translate to progress in its implementation.

The second field is the capital market and financial services ecosystem. The regulatory framework strengthened by the UUPPSK, with the OJK’s broader authority to independently impose administrative sanctions, reflects a serious effort to build a credible regulator. The critical note: broader authority without equivalent procedural accountability creates a risk of asymmetric enforcement, where the same subject, with substantively identical behavior, may face vastly different consequences depending on variables not entirely related to the substance of the violation.

The third field is international commercial arbitration. The ratification of the New York Convention and the Indonesian courts' respect for arbitration clauses provide a sufficient foundation for large-scale transactions involving foreign parties. The critical note: the execution of foreign arbitral awards in Indonesia still faces non-negligible procedural hurdles, and “respect for arbitration clauses” does not mean there is no room for dissatisfied parties to attempt to challenge the validity of such clauses through available channels.

III. Where the System Still Lags: Five Critical Areas

Criticism that fails to acknowledge real progress is criticism that cannot be relied upon. There are several arenas in which the Indonesian judicial system delivers consistent value across most or all dimensions of effectiveness, and which should serve as reference points in assessing reform potential in other areas.

There are areas that remain systemic hurdles for modern business, not mere procedural inconveniences, but genuine sources of legal risk that influence investment decisions and transaction structures.

The first area is uncertainty in regulatory interpretation. The same regulation can be interpreted differently by different units within the same agency, or by different judges in different courts, without a binding precedent mechanism. In a legal system that does not formally adhere to the doctrine of stare decisis, this inconsistency is not an anomaly; it is an inherent risk. The impact is concrete: substantively identical transactions can result in different legal treatments, and there is no reliable way to predict where the interpretation will land.

The second area is the sluggish enforcement of contractual rights through judicial channels. Litigation processes that can last for years, through the first instance, appeal, cassation, and in certain cases, judicial review, create uncertainty with real negative economic value. Delay in the enforcement of rights is often effectively equivalent to the denial of the right itself: credit that cannot be collected within a reasonable timeframe is not a receivable; it is a deferred loss.

The third area is regulation failing to keep pace with business innovation. Technology-based business models, from sharing economy platforms, digital financial services, and crypto assets to generative artificial intelligence, grow much faster than the legal system’s ability to produce clear frameworks. Consequently, business actors in these sectors operate in a gray area: not explicitly prohibited, but also not clearly protected, a condition that creates unquantifiable regulatory exposure.

The fourth area is the complexity and inconsistency of regulations at the regional level. Regional autonomy, while an important democratic achievement, has created extraordinary regulatory complexity for businesses operating across jurisdictions. Inconsistent regional regulations (Peraturan Daerah), which change with the succession of regional heads, create very high compliance costs and legal risks that are difficult to manage centrally. The Job Creation Law (Undang-Undang Cipta Kerja) reflects an acknowledgment of this issue, yet its implementation at the regional level remains far from uniform.

The fifth area, and the one most rarely discussed openly because it touches upon the most sensitive issue, is the matter of institutional integrity. No credible evaluation of the Indonesian legal system can bypass this issue without losing its relevance. Judicial corruption, though not a universal phenomenon and despite eradication efforts yielding some progress, remains one of the factors most consistently cited by foreign investors when explaining why they choose to minimize their exposure to the Indonesian domestic court system. Technical hurdles, slow processes, inconsistent interpretations, and procedural complexities can be overcome with sufficient resources and planning. Integrity-based hurdles cannot be addressed in the same manner; they require more fundamental and difficult institutional reforms. Failing to mention this issue in an analysis claiming to be critical is not prudence; it is dishonesty.

IV. Substantive Reform versus Cosmetic Reform: Distinguishing the Two

One of the greatest challenges in assessing the Indonesian legal system is distinguishing between reforms that produce substantive changes in the experience of business actors and reforms that yield surface-level changes, the addition of new norms, changes in nomenclature, or institutional reorganizations that do not alter the fundamental dynamics that are the source of the problem.

An example of reform that has produced real substantive change is the Online Single Submission (OSS), an integrated licensing system that has tangibly cut the time and cost of formally starting a business. This is a change directly felt in operational processes. Similarly, the development of e-court by the Supreme Court, though its implementation is uneven, has created easier access to the court system for certain types of cases.

Conversely, reforms that are often more cosmetic involve the establishment of new agencies without the necessary increase in capacity and independence. Regulations that add layers of compliance obligations without clarifying how those obligations will be interpreted and enforced also fall into this category; they create formal certainty without substantive certainty.

The most reliable way to distinguish the two is not by reading regulatory texts, but by observing institutional behavior over a sufficient period. Substantial reform changes institutional behavior, not just the texts guiding that behavior. The question to be asked is not “has the new norm been enacted?” but “does the official applying the norm behave differently than before?”

V. Legal Uncertainty as a Manageable Business Risk

Acknowledging legal certainty as a persistent feature of the Indonesian legal system does not mean accepting it with resignation. For business actors operating within this system, legal uncertainty is a risk, and like all risks, it can be identified, relatively quantified, and managed.

The first strategy is investment in proactive legal intelligence. Business actors who wait for new regulations to be understood only after they are bound by them are in an inherently weaker reactive position. Active monitoring of regulatory developments, regulator decision patterns, and court interpretation trends, before they officially impact, provides valuable time to adjust structures and legal positions. In the Indonesian context, where the gap between a draft regulation and enactment is often very short, the capacity to identify the business implications of changes in progress is a real competitive advantage.

The second strategy is contractual planning that explicitly considers regulatory uncertainty. Clauses handling regulatory risk allocation, renegotiation mechanisms triggered by material regulatory changes, and choice of law considering the predictability of the chosen system are high-value planning elements in a dynamic regulatory environment.

The third strategy is proactive regulatory engagement, with an important note that is often overlooked. Involvement with regulators through public consultations, industry associations, and appropriate dialogue can result in more relevant regulations and more proportionate enforcement. However, the ethical boundaries of this engagement must be clearly defined: there is a fundamental difference between legitimate regulatory advocacy, delivering industry perspectives through transparent and documented channels, and forms of engagement that potentially create integrity issues for all parties involved. Legal counsel who does not explicitly define this boundary for their client is leaving the client in dangerous ambiguity.

VI. The Role of Legal Counsel in an Uncertain Environment

In a legal system characterized by uncertainty of interpretation and the speed of regulatory change, the role of legal counsel far exceeds document functions and formal compliance. Effective legal counsel is a strategic partner who helps the business not only to comply with the law as it is, but to understand the law as it is likely to be applied, a very significant difference in a system where the gap between the text of the norm and the reality of its application can be very wide.

The greatest value-add of legal counsel in an uncertain environment is not the ability to quote articles, but the ability to read how a regulator or a court is most likely to interpret an ambiguous situation, based on a deep understanding of institutional behavior patterns, informal precedents, and the broader legal-political context.

There are two things business actors should always demand from their legal counsel: first, an honest assessment of what is unknown or unpredictable, not just of what is normatively clear. Explicitly acknowledged uncertainty is a manageable risk; unacknowledged uncertainty, because the counsel does not want to appear uncertain, is a risk unmanaged until it manifests. Second, specifically outlined worst-case scenarios: not just the best legal position that can be constructed, but how the situation will look if the most unfavorable interpretation is applied by the regulator or the court with authority over the matter.

One more thing rarely mentioned explicitly: effective legal counsel must also have a realistic understanding, and the courage to communicate honestly, about variables outside the legal text that may influence the outcome. Legal advice that ignores the institutional context, including the integrity issues discussed above, is not complete advice.

VII. Implications for Cross-Border Transactions and Foreign Investment

In the context of cross-border transactions and foreign investment, the Indonesian legal system is not judged in absolute terms; it is judged comparatively, against other jurisdictions competing for the same capital and business activity.

This comparative assessment is not always favorable to Indonesia. Various international ease-of-doing-business indices consistently place Indonesia in a middle position, with weaknesses consistently identified in contract enforcement and bankruptcy resolution. For foreign investors who have the option to make economically equivalent investments across various jurisdictions, the difference in legal certainty and efficiency is a real deciding factor, one that often overrides Indonesia's fundamental advantages in market size and natural resources.

The most common response from legal practitioners to these weaknesses is the use of structures that minimize exposure to domestic system uncertainty: choice of foreign law for key contracts, international arbitration forums, and in some cases, ownership structures that place core assets outside Indonesian jurisdiction. These strategies are effective for individual transactions, but they also reflect, and indirectly reinforce, the limitations of the domestic legal system. A legal system that is consistently avoided by sophisticated business actors in their major transactions is a system sending a signal about itself that is worth listening to.

VIII. Reform Agenda: More Than a Wish List

Reform priorities that have always been cited, consistency of interpretation, technological regulatory frameworks, judicial capacity, are things everyone already knows and which have been in various roadmaps for years. A more productive question is not “what needs to be reformed,” but “why have these known-to-be-necessary reforms failed to be consistently implemented?” Answering the second question is a prerequisite for answering the first in a way that does not produce the same wish list for the umpteenth time.

The answer, in many cases, boils down to one issue: incentives. A legal system that is inconsistent in its application is often inconsistent not because of technical inability, but because inconsistency generates rents enjoyed by parties who have an interest in maintaining it. Reform that does not touch the incentive structure generating such inconsistency will only produce layers of new norms atop old dynamics that have not changed.

With this understanding, the three most urgent reform priorities must be interpreted not merely as technical agendas, but as legal-political agendas. First, strengthening mechanisms for consistency of interpretation, through the publication of binding interpretive guidance, strengthening the regulatory consultation function, and developing publicly accessible decision databases, must be accompanied by accountability for unexplainable deviations from established standards. Second, the acceleration of regulatory frameworks for technology-based business models must be done with binding time commitments and transparent periodic evaluation mechanisms, not merely promises of regulatory sandboxes without clear deadlines. Third, investment in judicial integrity, not just technical capacity, must become an explicitly recognized priority, because a technically competent judge who is vulnerable to external pressure does not produce the legal certainty required by modern business.

IX. Closing: A System Not Yet Ready, But Not Without a Path

The Indonesian legal system does not yet meet the standards of legal certainty required by modern business, and this article takes the position that this unreadiness must not be masked by formal optimism. The progress that has occurred is real and deserves recognition. However, that progress has not been enough to close the gap between what is promised by normative texts and what is experienced by business actors who interact with the system every day.

For business actors, the practical implication is this: build strategies based on the system that exists, not the system that ought to be. Manage the remaining uncertainty actively, through meticulous contractual planning, proactive legal intelligence, and structural choices considering where exposure to uncertainty can be minimized without sacrificing actual business objectives.

For policymakers and legal reformers, the implication is this: the list of required reforms is not what is lacking; what is lacking is the courage to acknowledge that the greatest hurdles to implementing those reforms are often not technical, but political. Genuine reform requires the courage to touch the incentive structures that have sustained the status quo, not just the courage to enact new norms that do not change existing dynamics.

Legal certainty is not a gift given by the system to business actors; it is the result of a system working as it should, guarded by institutions of integrity, and fought for by all parties who have an interest in it. So long as these prerequisites are not fully met, what remains for business actors is the capacity to navigate intelligently within an imperfect system, while not ceasing to push that system to become better.